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—WILLIAM J. O’NEIL, Chairman and founder, Investor’s enterprise Daily
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—KEN FISHER, CEO and founder, Fisher Investments, 30-year Forbes columnist, and writer of Markets always remember (But humans Do) and The in simple terms 3 Questions that also Count
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—SAM STOVALL, leader fairness Strategist, commonplace & Poor’s Capital IQ
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Extra info for Stock Trader's Almanac 2015 (Almanac Investor Series)
9%, delivering first-class deciding to buy possibilities later in such a lot years. FROM DOWN JANUARY S&P CLOSES TO LOW subsequent eleven MONTHS may possibly most sensible appearing MONTHS previous sixty four YEARS: typical & POOR'S 500 AND DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS per month functionality of the S&P and the Dow are ranked over the last sixty four years. NASDAQ per 30 days functionality is proven on web page fifty eight. April, November, and December nonetheless carry the pinnacle 3 positions in either the Dow and the S&P. March has reclaimed the fourth spot at the S&P. disastrous Januarys in 2008 and 2009 knocked January into 5th. This, partly, ended in our discovery in 1986 of the market's such a lot constant seasonal development. you could divide the 12 months into sections and feature essentially the entire profits in a single six-month part and intensely little within the different. September is the worst month on either lists. (See “Best Six Months” on web page fifty two. ) per month % alterations (JANUARY 1950 to April 2014) Anticipators, shifts in cultural habit, and quicker details stream have altered seasonality lately. here's how the months ranked during the last 15 years (184 months) utilizing overall percent earnings at the S&P 500: April 32. three, March 31. 6, October 24. 1, December 22. 7, November thirteen. zero, July 2. 7, August –3. zero, may possibly –3. zero, January –9. zero, June –14. 1, February –16. 2, September –19. four. over the last 15 years front-runners of our greatest Six Months could have helped push October into the number-three spot. January has declined in eight of the final sixteen years. monstrous turnarounds in “bear killing” October have been a typical prevalence from 1999 to 2007. fresh enormous Dow losses within the interval have been: September 2001 (9/11 attack), off eleven. 1%; September 2002 (Iraq conflict drums), off 12. 4%; June 2008, off 10. 2%; October 2008, off 14. 1%; and February 2009 (financial crisis), off eleven. 7%. may possibly “BEST SIX MONTHS”: nonetheless AN EYE-POPPING procedure our greatest Six Months Switching technique continually gives you. making an investment within the Dow Jones commercial normal among November 1st and April thirtieth every year after which switching into mounted source of revenue for the opposite six months has produced trustworthy returns with diminished possibility when you consider that 1950. The chart on web page 147 exhibits November, December, January, March, and April to be the pinnacle months given that 1950. upload February, and a very good method is born! those six consecutive months received 17432. 70 Dow issues in sixty four years, whereas the rest May-through-October months misplaced 1066. 19 issues. The S&P won 1790. 37 issues within the comparable top six months as opposed to seventy five. fifty one issues within the worst six. percent adjustments are proven in addition to a compounding $10,000 funding. The November–April $816,984 achieve overshadows May–October's $678 loss. (S&P effects have been $607,883 to $6,891. ) simply 3 November–April losses have been double-digit: April 1970 (Cambodian invasion), 1973 (OPEC oil embargo), and 2008 (financial crisis). equally, Iraq muted the simplest Six and inflated the Worst Six in 2003. after we came upon this process in 1986, November–April outperformed May–October by way of $88,163 to minus $1,522. effects enhanced considerably those prior 28 years, $728,821 to $844.